The comment by Donald Trump that Africa and Haiti are shitholes is utterly untrue even when viewed in terms of the level of human development on the continent. Indeed Africa is the poorest region of the world going by United Nations human development indicators. But this does not make what Trump said a truth. That Africa houses more poor people than any continent does not make the continent a shithole otherwise Europe could have also been said to be a shithole many decades and centuries ago when scores of Donald’s ancestors embarked on a massive exodus to America, their New World to escape poverty, oppression and conflict in their motherland. Similarly the United States could have also been described as a shithole when poverty, deprivation and inequality was the main feature of most White Americans in the years after Independence to the Civil War to the Reconstruction and until the Civil Rights Era – a post-independence period of 200 years.
Yes, by several social, economic and political development indicators, the incidence of corruption, lack of freedom, fragility, peace and conflict and overall governance Africa is found to be at the bottom of the world. Until today more Africans lack electricity and running water than any other region of the world. Illiteracy, infant and maternal mortality and the prevalence of preventable diseases that are killing more people are higher in Africa compared to the rest of the world. These are facts that clearly point to the fact that Africa indeed faces quiet a challenging life and future. Have America and Europe not experienced far more dire conditions in their post-independence history of centuries than Africa’s 60 years of independent at most?
Therefore to merely look at Africa from this perspective and then conclude that it is a shithole is to reach a conclusion that leaves out lot more as to the reason why indeed Africa is a shithole today, if at all. Yes Africans bear responsibility to salvage themselves like all other peoples of the world, but it would be simplistic to image that America of all places and even Europe merely pulled themselves up by their own bootstraps. History has recorded that without the invasion and exploitation of native populations of America, Africa and Asia in order to loot their resources Europe and the United States could not have attained the level of human advancement they enjoy today.
Hence it is important that we unravel how Africa is a shithole as claimed by Trump. I need not search any further but to go back to my own notes over the years since I have written about these issues extensively. By claiming that Africa is a shithole it gives the impression that therefore Africa has no value and offers nothing. But when we analyze the facts we will see that indeed America of all places has been hugely benefiting from this Donald Trump Shithole to the point that one can only describe Africa as a Donor to America – as well as to Europe and China hence the rest of the world since time immemorial.
In an article on 25 May 2017 I wrote the following,
“Today the EU as a collective makes nothing less than 150 billion US dollars in trade with Africa. In the same vein the US makes nothing less than 100 billion dollars out of Africa, while China collects at least 200 billion dollars a year in Africa. Meantime the total intra-African trade amounts to only 11.3% of Africa’s total trade with the world. For example, non-African airlines account for 80% of the intra-continental market share… the International Coffee Organization reported that in 2014 Africa, the home of coffee earned nearly $2.4 billion from the crop, yet Germany, a leading processor, earned about $3.8 billion from coffee re-exports. The reason for this anomaly is because the EU imposes tariff barriers for which non-decaffeinated or unroasted green coffee is exempt from the charges, while a 7.5% charge is imposed on roasted coffee. As a result, the bulk of Africa’s coffee export to the EU is unroasted green coffee. This means technically the EU disadvantages African farmers and consequently undermines industrialization in Africa through tariffs.” Does this trade phenomenon make Africa look like a shithole?
In particular reference to the US and how it benefits from Africa, I referred to the comments by former US Senator Jesse Helms, a Reagan Administration politician who backed Apartheid on the basis that if America cuts off South Africa it would effectively hamper American interests. He stated clearly at the time that South Africa was the source of over 80% of America’s mineral supply, noting that there is no substitute for chrome in their military and industrial manufacturing; that without South Africa’s chrome, no engines for modern jet aircraft, cruise missiles or armaments could be built and no surgical equipment and utensils could be produced hence render American hospitals and doctors helpless. In fact a former US Secretary of State Alexander Haig further buttressed this point that the loss of the mineral output of South Africa could have the severest consequences to the American economy and the security of the world! Does this description of Africa sound like a shithole?
In another article following the July 2017 AU Summit, I reported,
“A study commissioned by the EU Parliament in 2011 found out that currently 500 oil companies are estimated to operate in the African upstream oil and gas industry. The biggest five players with market capitalization between $150 billion and over $500 billion include the multinational oil giants ExxonMobil, BP, Shell, Total and Chevron.” Does this description of Africa sound like a shithole? Does this description of Africa sound like a shithole?
In that same article I spoke about the issue of capital flight in which Western and other foreign governments, businesses and their institutions siphon off billions of dollars out of Africa through corruption, bribery, misinvoicing, tax evasion and avoidance as well as illegal pricing amon other malpractices.
“A 2015 report by the High-level Panel on Illicit Financial Flows from Africa commissioned by the African Union and United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) puts the average financial losses at between 50 billion and 148 billion dollars a year through trade mispricing. This is more than the combined foreign direct investment and aid (ODA) to Africa thereby proving that Africa indeed has the capacity to finance its own development if indeed the continent has democratic leadership and strong institutions of good governance.”
In fact a 2008 report by the University of Massachusetts on capital flight from Africa between 1970 and 2010 found out that the continent lost over a trillion dollars. These funds, stolen by America and European governments and their private businesses along with their African counterparts are all saved in American and European banks or used to purchase properties in the West yet neither the US nor the EU governments stop those funds from reaching their shores or return them to Africa.
Furthermore we know that the whole of the former French colonies in Africa until today pay a colonial tax to France for the infrastructure the French claimed to have built during colonialism. Not just that, but these countries also keep their reserves with the French Treasury such that none of them can access more than 15% of their own money without the consent of the French finance minister!
How therefore would Africa not become a ‘Shithole’ when American and European governments and private companies are frantically working to loot and weaken the continent through legalized and legitimized methods using their control over global financial, trade and political institutions?
Above all this Africa we have today is a result of European invasion to enslave and colonize without the invitation of Africans. In 1885 European powers and the US met in Berlin to demarcate political borders in Africa without any consultation and participation of Africans. Even when Africa gained independence through their blood and tears, the indisputable evidence is that the US Government in particular had practically devised schemes to undermine democratically elected leaders such as overthrowing Kwame Nkrumah of Ghana and seeking to kill Patrice Lumumba of Congo before the Belgians did eventually as well as effectively destabilizing other countries such as Angola among many other acts of interference just to weaken and undermine Africa.
Hence when Donald Trump makes such a comment it does not mean he is telling the truth but rather it is more about what he has not said or seeks to cover up and what we need to know. In other words he is misinforming, misleading and distorting the facts about Africa and America. Yes Africa is severely beset by bad leadership which Africans themselves have recognized a long time ago. To get a better perspective on this I refer to an article I wrote on 25 May 2016 by recalling that little but powerful book written way back in 1983 by the late Chinua Achebe, ‘The Trouble with Nigeria’ in which he concluded,
“The trouble with Nigeria is simply and squarely a failure of leadership… Nigeria is not a great country. It is one of the most disorderly nations in the world. It is one of the most corrupt, insensitive, inefficient places under the sun.”
He went further to dilate on the issue of the leadership malaise that Nigeria suffers which is in fact a microcosm of the entire continent.
“The Nigerian problem is the unwillingness or inability of its leaders to rise to the responsibility, to the challenge of personal example which are the hallmarks of true leadership… Leaders are, in the language of psychologists, role models. People look up to them and copy their actions, behaviour and even mannerisms. Therefore if a leader lacks discipline the effect is apt to spread automatically down to his followers.”
From the foregoing, it is therefore important that Africans tell the world that we know what our problem is and there a millions of Africans that are frantically dealing with this issue of leadership, governance and development. But this is not an issue only for Africa. For example we know that until 1990 Western Europe also had dictatorships while you can find dictators and excruciating poverty in the rest of Europe up to today.
Secondly the African leadership is not simply and squarely a problem of its own. From the facts provided above there is incredible amount of Western interference, politically and economically in the affairs of Africa to the point that the continent cannot until now find its own bearing. For example the French have ensured since 1958 that no former colony obtains a leader who is pro-Africa, honest and committed to his or her people. The strangulation of Sekou Toure of Guinea and the overthrow of Sankara of Burkina Faso or Pascal Lissouba of Congo not to mention the blatant EU support for the Biafra secessionists are few of the many intrusions that the West continues to make into Africa hence stifling any serious attempt by Africans to stand on their own. But this still does not exonerate Africans and their leaders in particular in their failure to take up their responsibility to salvage their people.
Thus the comments by Trump must be viewed as part of the same Western intrusions that continuously seek to undermine Africa. Let us therefore tell Trump that Africa is not a shithole but a mountain of opportunity and wealth and none more than America continues to benefit from Africa. By all accounts Africa, until today Africa continues to be a Donor to the US and EU. Africa gives more to America and Europe more than they give back to Africa, if they ever did! The facts are there buried in the vaults of those Western institutions in Bretton Woods, New York, London, Paris, Brussels, Rome, Madrid, Lisbon, Stockholm, Berlin, Amsterdam, Oslo, Geneva and Vienna.
Africa is Wealth but made a Shithole by America!
PEACE in The Gambia – Are We Where We Think We Are?
I am disheartened to see the recent ugly reports and footage of violence in Mankamang Kunda and Busumbala, The Gambia. Unsurprisingly, the online rhetoric has mostly been partisan, angry and murky, making it difficult to get a good understanding of what exactly transpired. Since that’s unclear to me, I will refrain from the finger-pointing by and at the different groups trying to control the narrative in favor of the party they support. This is not the first time such clashes have erupted between supporters of the current coalition government and supporters of the preceding APRC party. Since Gambians pride ourselves as being peaceful people, it is crucial that we confront this ugly problem and find lasting solutions to avert further threats of violence. This essay is an attempt to critically examine the Gambian situation from a Conflict Analyst’s perspective to try and figure out the underlying issues that give grounds for these undesired incidents. I will only stop at the diagnosis and hope that our leaders will take it from there and begin working on lasting solutions.
In his book, “Preventing Violent Conflict,” Michael Lund presents “Curve of Conflict,” showing that there are different phases in a changing relationship, ranging from “Durable Peace” at the base, all the way to “War” at the peak. In between the two extremes are phases known as “Stable Peace,” “Unstable Peace” and “Crisis”.
Lund defines “Unstable Peace” as “a situation in which tension and suspicion among parties run high, but violence is either absent or only sporadic. A ‘negative peace’ prevails because although armed force is not deployed [or employed], the parties perceive one another as enemies… A balance of power may discourage aggression, but crisis and war are still possible.” (USIP)
Many Gambians have always believed that we have always enjoyed an exceptional level of ‘peace and stability” that is unparalleled. This is mostly based on the fact that with the exception of the post-1981 coup attempt, we have largely avoided violent conflict, especially compared to some of the unfortunate scenes we saw some of our neighbors go through. We have been very fortunate and there’s no trivializing that.
However, observing The Gambian situation from a Conflict Analyst’s perspective reveals that we are only the 3rd best and not the 1st in our “class”. The country has been in a state of “Unstable Peace” for well over 2 decades. We can do better! Observing our situation, I would also also argue that contrary to what many would like to believe, removing the dictator moved us further up the curve towards “Crisis”, not down towards the desired “Stable Peace” and “Durable Peace”.
Recognizing and acknowledging that fact is crucial because it allows us to begin examining WHY we are in that situation. From there we can begin to figure out HOW we can work towards achieving the desired “Durable Peace”.
One can argue that there was Unstable Peace during the first republic under Jawara’s PPP, especially after the 1981 coup attempt. I have enough reasons to disagree and leave that discussion for another day. Today we will cover the period from 1994 to 2018.
Unstable Peace: 1994-2016
AFPRC Rise to Power – To begin with, the AFPRC came to power by force. Although no blood was shed during their take over, the mere fact that this group of soldiers used violence to drive out a democratically elected government destabilized the country. Many supporters and beneficiaries, including the economic and political elites of the PPP regime understandably developed animosity towards the coupists. The AFPRC regime made no secret of their jealousy/hatred of those who were “enjoying” during PPP rule. Jobs were lost and properties seized. Because of the power imbalance, the “losers” could not fight back openly. Some went into exile, some jumped ship to join other parties including UDP and even APRC, and many others remained in the country, harboring deep-seated anger and hatred, hoping, waiting, or plotting for any opportunity to fight back. In addition, the successful military takeover of 1994 also showed other soldiers in the army that they too could become president in the same way. I’m confident that there were also some who felt that it was their duty to restore the democracy that had been stolen from Gambians. The many failed coup attempts that followed were a result of a combination of these factors.
APRC Oppression – Apart from their path to power, the way the AFPRC stayed in power also ensured we remained in a situation of unstable peace. In the face of blatant economic and financial mismanagement, gross human rights violations and a total disregard for the rule of law, the people’s emotions remained bottled up. The swift and merciless crackdown on dissent forced people to leave the land and/or silently swallow their anger – again plotting in secret or patiently waiting for the slightest opportunity to strike. Events of December 30, 2014, when Gambians left comfortable lives in Europe and America to risk their lives attempting to remove the dictator is evidence of how desperate people were.
2016 – Present Day
Other factors contributing to our unstable peace status have to do with the fact that we currently have a coalition government in charge. To begin with, the coalition government was rushed into formation. Leaders of the political parties, in their desperation to get rid of the dictator, realized that their greatest chance was to come together. This was done very hurriedly as evidenced by the lingering disputes between party leaders as to whether the President (UDP) will step down after 3 or 5 years, the outrage over the spokesperson; Halifa Sallah (PDOIS), opting to contest for a seat in the National Assembly instead of taking a Ministerial position; and the firing of the man who had fired and unfired him, Mai Fatty (GMC). These fractions show that the different coalition leaders do not trust each other and it can completely disintegrate at any time.
The inexperience of the Coalition government is another reason the peace we’re enjoying is so fragile. None of the leaders, except OJ with PPP, has any experience being a part of governing team. If the poor handling of #OccupyWestfield (deny a permit, issue it and then revoke it) or the slow response time to the Busumbala and Mankamang Kunda incidents is not enough to convince you, then remembering that ECOMIG is still present in The Gambia should do the trick.
Just like the coalition leaders are divided, one must also realize that the nation is divided. The winning coalition candidate only beat second place APRC by less than 20,000 votes! This is a clear indication that for many the division is not limited to the internet. The coalition candidate was elected but many Gambians still support APRC, many support the UDP, PDOIS, GDP etc., while some are unsatisfied with any of the choices presented.
On top of all this is the instability and divisions in the military. To be able to remain in power for 22 years, dictator Jammeh must had control and loyalty within the army. Those folks loyal to him did not just disappear into thin air once the coalition took over. Many are still there and it would be naive to believe they all switched allegiance to the coalition government. They’ve tasted power. Who knows how many are just lurking in the shadows and waiting for an opportunity to strike?
The Elephant in the Room
Tribal and Regional Differences – In our typical “maslaha” fashion, we tell ourselves there are no social conflicts in The Gambia. Again, this is only relatively true because while we don’t have the wars in other countries, there is still some masked rivalry between different classes or sections of society. Online political discussion since the removal of the dictator has made it extremely difficult for us to deny that tribal tensions exist between Fulas vs Mandinaks, Jolas vs Mandinkas, and, between people who see themselves as coming from the urban areas vs people from the rural areas. Although we inter-marry and, to a large extent, get along relatively well, we see the cracks when challenges are presented in economic opportunities such as government hiring or during disagreements/disputes. Perhaps feeling threatened by the fact that his predecessor, Jawara, was Mandinka and that the Mandinkas were largest ethnic group in the country, the dictator never passed up on the opportunity to denigrate The Mandinkas. Of course this did not sit well with many and some see the removal of Jammeh as a time for them to recover the glory that was stolen from them. Voting patterns in the last elections also shows strong support for Mama Kandeh from the Fulas, Mandinkas for Barrow and the coalition, and the Jolas for Jammeh. A close following of the online rhetoric also supports this unscientific observation of the support for these three parties/leaders. These social tensions, especially because we usually brush them under the carpet rather than confront them head on, make the peace we enjoy very unstable and prone to flaring up.
Recommendation
None of the socio-economic development we aspire to is possible without peace. While we’ve survived over 2 decades in a phase of unstable peace, the size of our population, close relations and cultural dynamics mean that we cannot afford one week of sustained violent conflict in The Gambia. This means that we should not only jealously guard the peace we enjoy, we need to nurture it to reach a phase of durable peace. Our leaders need to understand our unique situation and devise strategies to actively work on healing old wounds, enhancing communications and rebuilding trust. President Barrow came into office enjoying a lot of goodwill. He needs to ride that wave and solicit the services of experts, engage youth leaders, religious leaders and community elders. The much talked-about Truth and Reconciliation Commission may not provide all the solutions, but it would be a good start.