My Dear President and Godfather,
When I heard the announcement that you were to embark on a country-wide tour this week, I prayed and hope that you were going to bid farewell to the Gambian people, announce that you will not contest for another term in office, repeal all the controversial electoral laws, release Lawyer Darboe together with all other political detainees/prisoners, preside over a free, fair and peaceful presidential elections in December, and then hand over power to whoever Gambians choose.
However, my expectation, and I believe the expectation of the majority of Gambians were dashed by your speech in Farafenni where you threatened innocent Gambians with more violence instead of using words of peace and reconciliation. Everything you have, Mr. President, is gained through the name of the Gambian people so the least they deserve from you is gratitude and respect.
Mr. President, actions speaks louder than words. So while your words may sound confident and defiant, your actions clearly illustrate an overwhelming sense of stress, uncertainty, suspicion and fear. The sight of soldiers engulfing you and clinging onto your vehicle like bats while you struggle under the heavy weight of what seems like a bullet-proof vest and a load of jujus/charms under that immaculate white gown of yours is a clear sign of insecurity and vulnerability. It is only people who are expecting a bullet or a grenade that will go to this level of protecting themselves.
Mr. President, do you really believe that you are a tougher and a better leader than Al Maummar Ghaddaffi of Libya or Joao Bernado Nino Vieira of Guinea Bissau or Francisco Macías Nguema of Equatorial Guinea or Samuel Doe of Liberia who were all mercilessly killed while clinging on to power? Can’t you learn from the fates of Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, Charles Taylor of Liberia, Hissene Habre of Chad, and Laurent Gbagbo of Ivory Coast who were all dragged from their offices to courts?
How about the long list of African Presidents who ended up as refugees after being booted out of office? Idi Amin of Uganda fled to Saudi Arabia; Hastings Banda of Malawi to South Africa; Siad Barry who ruled Somalia for 22 years like you fled to and died in Nigeria; Mobutu Sese Seko, who ruled Congo for 32 years ended up in Morocco; Zine El Abinie Ben Ali of Tunisia was recently kicked out by his own people ran to Saudi Arabia after being denied entry to France; and Blaise Campaore of Burkina Faso who had to scramble for the Burkinabe/Ivorian border like a Sarahulleh hustler as he fled from the wrath of his people after being in power for 27 years.
A common denominator that all these leaders share with you is that they either over-stayed in power or they tried to cling on to power against the will of the majority of their people. And in spite of having access to the same means of security and protection like you including the best-trained security personnel, the best of weaponry, bullet-proof cars/vests and even the best of marabouts, black magic/voodoo/charms or jujus, they still ended up badly. What makes you believe that you are exceptional Mr. President?
Mr. President, you have long over-stayed your welcome in power and the majority of Gambians really want you to see your back. Any single day you continue to stay in office will only increase the threat to your own personal security as well as the difficulty of the situation of our country and people.
The good thing is that there is still a peaceful and positive way out of this predicament for all of us. Please follow the footsteps of Jerry Rawlins of Ghana and make a declaration that you will not run for reelection in December. No one forced you to come to power on 22 July 1994 and so no one will stop you from leaving. Please save yourself Mr. President and exit power in a peaceful and honourable way while there is still that option. Do not under-estimate the kind, religious and forgiving nature of the Gambian people. That is why we are known as the Smiling Coast of Africa.
Long live the Republic of the Gambia and long live our peaceful co-existence!!!!
Author Gano
Posted on May 20, 2016
A Coalition Formula
By Lamin Gano
The aim of this blog post is to endorse a simple and credible formula on how to form a coalition between the Gambian opposition parties. But before that, it is worthwhile to highlight an issues of political reality and to debunk a myth and wishful thinking.
Our political reality is that eight opposition parties have been confirmed by the IEC to be registered and qualified to run for elections. However, only four of them seem to be in position to file a presidential candidate and to contest in the Dec polls. These are the UDP, PDOIS, NRP and the new comer GDC. As for the remaining four, the PPP has already stated that they will not be presenting a candidate while the leaders of the remaining three (GMC, GDPD and NCP) are either not physically on the ground or are not seen doing any preparations to contest.
The myth I would like to debunk is the view held and expressed by many people that elections cannot remove Jammeh from office even if the opposition forms a coalition. Their argument is that if elections could not remove Jammeh in 1996, 2001, 2006 and 2011 then it would also not work against him in 2016.
My contention, however, is that after 22 years of APRC rule characterized by complications, difficulties, problems and visions that have turned into illusions, Yahya Jammeh has reached his culmination point and the majority of Gambians have now reached their fed up point. This twin effects of Gambians being fed up on one hand and Jammeh reaching his expiry date on the other hand is what will make the 2016 presidential elections different from the others.
A wishful thinking and a big distraction from reality is the view held by some people that Jammeh could be forced out of power before December by other means such as a popular uprising, a coup d’état, a Senegalese intervention, an assassination or a normal visit by Malakal Mauti (the angel of death) like the way of Sanni Abachi of Nigeria in 1998. It is my postulation that Jammeh will wake up in State House on 01 Dec 2016 and he would cast his vote!!!!
Now to come to the essence of my post, I really do believe that there is a very good chance for the opposition parties to not only arrive at a coalition but a winning coalition for that matter. A simple, straightforward and legitimate way is to use the formula of a convention as proposed by the PDOIS party. The claim that the idea of a convention would not work because each representative will simply vote for their own respective candidates thereby producing a stalemate is baseless. A convention can and will work because the representatives of parties like the PPP with no presidential candidates will participate in the convention and therefore prevent a stalemate.
There are many advantages to the approach of a convention. One is that whoever emerges as the leader is undoubtedly the legitimate choice of the combined opposition. But perhaps the biggest advantage is that that such an approach will serve as a tool for effective conflict prevention and reconciliation post Jammeh. Any candidate who wins a convention and then the ultimate elections would have passed two solid tests of majority endorsements thereby giving him/her a solid platform to lead. Such a consensus will also serve as a safeguard from our country descending into post-election violence.
I was privilege to visit Kenya on a study tour shortly after their post-election violence of 2007. We really cannot afford to let our beautiful country follow any path of violence and instability. I therefore fervently hope that our opposition leaders will arrive at a coalition sooner than later. With the elections around the corner, it is high time we put the issue of a coalition to a permanent rest so that we can focus on the uphill task of campaigning and winning the hearts and minds of the civil servants, APRC supporters and our men and women in uniform. I might even volunteer as the spokesman for security service personnel; a job that I have done for seven years and very familiar with!!!!
Long Live the Republic of the Gambia and long live our peace, stability and good neighbourliness!!!
Author Gano
Posted on May 21, 2016