By Lamin Gano
The aim of this blog post is to endorse a simple and credible formula on how to form a coalition between the Gambian opposition parties. But before that, it is worthwhile to highlight an issues of political reality and to debunk a myth and wishful thinking.
Our political reality is that eight opposition parties have been confirmed by the IEC to be registered and qualified to run for elections. However, only four of them seem to be in position to file a presidential candidate and to contest in the Dec polls. These are the UDP, PDOIS, NRP and the new comer GDC. As for the remaining four, the PPP has already stated that they will not be presenting a candidate while the leaders of the remaining three (GMC, GDPD and NCP) are either not physically on the ground or are not seen doing any preparations to contest.
The myth I would like to debunk is the view held and expressed by many people that elections cannot remove Jammeh from office even if the opposition forms a coalition. Their argument is that if elections could not remove Jammeh in 1996, 2001, 2006 and 2011 then it would also not work against him in 2016.
My contention, however, is that after 22 years of APRC rule characterized by complications, difficulties, problems and visions that have turned into illusions, Yahya Jammeh has reached his culmination point and the majority of Gambians have now reached their fed up point. This twin effects of Gambians being fed up on one hand and Jammeh reaching his expiry date on the other hand is what will make the 2016 presidential elections different from the others.
A wishful thinking and a big distraction from reality is the view held by some people that Jammeh could be forced out of power before December by other means such as a popular uprising, a coup d’état, a Senegalese intervention, an assassination or a normal visit by Malakal Mauti (the angel of death) like the way of Sanni Abachi of Nigeria in 1998. It is my postulation that Jammeh will wake up in State House on 01 Dec 2016 and he would cast his vote!!!!
Now to come to the essence of my post, I really do believe that there is a very good chance for the opposition parties to not only arrive at a coalition but a winning coalition for that matter. A simple, straightforward and legitimate way is to use the formula of a convention as proposed by the PDOIS party. The claim that the idea of a convention would not work because each representative will simply vote for their own respective candidates thereby producing a stalemate is baseless. A convention can and will work because the representatives of parties like the PPP with no presidential candidates will participate in the convention and therefore prevent a stalemate.
There are many advantages to the approach of a convention. One is that whoever emerges as the leader is undoubtedly the legitimate choice of the combined opposition. But perhaps the biggest advantage is that that such an approach will serve as a tool for effective conflict prevention and reconciliation post Jammeh. Any candidate who wins a convention and then the ultimate elections would have passed two solid tests of majority endorsements thereby giving him/her a solid platform to lead. Such a consensus will also serve as a safeguard from our country descending into post-election violence.
I was privilege to visit Kenya on a study tour shortly after their post-election violence of 2007. We really cannot afford to let our beautiful country follow any path of violence and instability. I therefore fervently hope that our opposition leaders will arrive at a coalition sooner than later. With the elections around the corner, it is high time we put the issue of a coalition to a permanent rest so that we can focus on the uphill task of campaigning and winning the hearts and minds of the civil servants, APRC supporters and our men and women in uniform. I might even volunteer as the spokesman for security service personnel; a job that I have done for seven years and very familiar with!!!!
Long Live the Republic of the Gambia and long live our peace, stability and good neighbourliness!!!
Author Gano
Posted on May 21, 2016
Gambia’s no-buy list for 2016 and beyond
By Habib
Yaya Jammeh marveled during his so called meet the farmers tour against the so called “Negative internet sites” sweeping the nations gateways to the homes of Gambians. He didn’t mention that the phenomenon — and its disorienting effect — has been largely his doing. The choice between development and backwardness offered by the president is a false choice. He rekindled his stale resentments and overstepped his authority with diktats meant to scare Gambians into his submission. Our elders and religion teaches us “if we don’t have anything good to say, you keep silent”. Words once spoken in one corner of the world— lives forever somewhere in the heart of people, servers or on a digital world and the scribers who record our deeds.
Some Gambians only yesterday, sat back and enjoy the spectacle of the regime tearing the fabrics of our society apart. Now slowly but surely, the effects of the regime policies are felt in every corner of the country and coming towards their coronation. Now they’re learning that the rain that falls on the regimes opponents gets them wet, too. Now they are waking up to the reality of living under a brutal regime. The abuse of political prisoners is no secret. Some used to argue about the white elephant buildings development but much harm happened to the citizens which since erase the sunny outlook of the regime. A cornerstone of the nation’s confidence which is the people are not better off today, yesterday, and tomorrow under the APRC regime.
In life, once you reach the top of the heap, some people with moral conscience retire with dignity while few others feel entitled to stay there until death does them apart. Fearing change, people sell their principles and go against the wishes of their citizens who question their political orthodoxy. As the pendulum of power approaches the completion of its APRC era swing, Yaya Jammeh insist to stay in power grudgingly and he is determine to inflict as much damage to the nation before he leaves. He showered himself with extraordinary unchallenged power and authority as a weapon to harass—some people, politicians and ideological opponents in ways that no one would have dared. There are hundreds of who should be alive but are not, along with thousands of surviving victims as a result of the president’s determination to stay in power no matter what.
Yaya Jammeh selective attitude toward opposition parties’ persecution is puzzling, even to those who are eager to give him the benefit of every doubt. Some die hard loyalist though he could have moderated his hectoring tone and wish he stop his actions against Gambians. Reality of his policies and his words are forces to be reckon with. The legacy Yaya Jammeh will leave is well established already. Staying in the good graces of Gambians is even more difficult after lives lost and torture details he approved came to light. He doesn’t seem to understand that a president doesn’t design his legacy. Yes there are moments in history when the fate of the nation’s lies at the mercy of the integrity of its leader but legacy is how you executed those actions.
The nation’s uncertainty cause by regime didn’t happen overnight and renewed confidence in the future won’t either because our society is now beset with structural problems and political paradox. With its propaganda and financial manipulation, the APRC regime feed some of his loyalist —with piecemeal and inadvertent assistance into the effort to cling on to power even doing the unthinkable. Some people who should know better don’t understand this. The disregard for human life that drives the regime to abuse its own supporters further illuminates its dream of eliminating its political opponents. The empty ritual of fear mongering by Yaya Jammeh is familiar now, and impresses no one.
A competent president would know that shared values like love of country, not tribal resentment, gives his citizens the fortitude and plain level field to succeed by leaving office gracefully when they are no longer welcomed to stay in office. Yaya Jammeh’s stubborn devotion to his agenda of staying in office by his use of terror —as an innumerable caravan to eternity for those whom he dislikes or disagrees with. This reveals his closed mind with lethal consequences against Gambians. He resorted to social engineering of the nation’s workforce and security forces which have been one of Yaya goals in his quest to transform Gambia. It has been very difficult for Gambians adjusting to the elaborate restraints of social etiquette and the closed nature of society which was once friendly.
This is why older elders always preach “Courage has its rewards, and fear has consequences”. A vibrant democracy depends on every citizen’s respect for the right of everyone to express an opinion, particularly if the opinion is unpopular. Everything Gambians worked hard for generations is now owned by Yaya Jammeh nowadays. You name it; Abuko life stocks —now kanilai farms, farm lands, hotels , buildings of high real estate values and the list goes on to the point that nothing is ever certain in Gambia except when it is owned by Yaya Jammeh. The rule of law is meant to guide the administration of justice but in The Gambia, the law is dictated by Yaya Jammeh’s mood swing. He is obsessed with four things; tribalism, color blind, riches and his favorite African trademarks.
Nevertheless, some Gambians have already pout, left the country in thousands through back way –others with university degree holders are more likely to stay in their host countries and raise their kids in different cultural environment. The regime has shuttered-eye approach on every concern of Gambians but this may soon be no longer tolerable because people want a free society and vibrant government to address their needs. The regime in every case has established a new standard of incompetence and proudly employs incompetent people or resorts to tribal affiliations employment. Most people see your regime as the scary darkening cloud they couldn’t way to eventually disappear.
By habib (A Concerned Gambian)